What is it: Captures the churning that takes place in the labor market. Jobs created, new hires, layoffs.
Link to most recent release: Latest Release
Release time: 10:00. Published about five to six weeks after the reference month
Frequency: Monthly
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Labor
Revisions: Tend to be major. Often go back two months with each release
Employment report tells us nothing about how many people were hired(just month-on-month change) over the course of last month. Nor does it tell us the numbers of jobs eliminated. This is the gap the JOLT report fills in the gap of the actual gross number of positions filled and eliminated. There is no better way to judge the health of the economy than its ability to create new jobs.
TheBureau of Labor Statistics breaks down the JOLT report into job openings, hires and separations(quits, layoffs and discharges). It randomly contacts 16 000 non-farm business establishments(from the poo of 9.1 million) each month - offices, factories, retailers, federal/state/local government agencies in all 50 states.
Job openings - jobs(positions companies are actively recruiting for) available on the last day of each month. Full-time, part-time, temporary and permanent are included
Hires - total number of filled position from entire month
Separations - eliminated jobs. Quits are voluntary, separations and layoffs are involuntary. Other Separations - retirement, death or left due to disability.
Job openings ultimately represents the employers optimism/pessimism about the future of the economy since labor is the costliest investments companies make. Job openings turns markedly lower well in advance of when an economy slips into recession.
Hires also peaks months before a recession
Separations tells a mixed story since people can get laid off from their employer due to fears of near term drop in demand of goods and services but also people may quit as they feel optimistic about finding a better job.
Ratio of Unemployed to Job Openings
Useful metric that tells us how many people compete for one job.
Take the number of unemployed people(from the Employment Report) and divide by the number of new job openings.
For June 2024:
6 811 000 (unemployed) / 8 184 000 (job openings) = 0.83 people for each job
This tells us there is plenty of employment opportunity for people in the labor market.
Before the GFC there were 2 people for each job and after the GFC there were 7 people for each job.
Bonds
No effect as this report gets released alongside it so bond traders are unaffected by the JOLT report.
Stocks
Investors find it important but do not modify their strategies purely based on the new figures.
Dollar
No measurable reaction to it.